Wednesday, March 30, 2022

China "Complicates" Western "Responses" to Ukraine

China, being an economic juggernaut friendly to Russia, and holding UNSC permanent membership, means Western sanctions against Russia are far less effective. It also means that the "West" have many fewer options against Russia.

Ha Ha Ha. Another funny article for you today. No shit, Sherlock.

Smarter People would not have picked this fight with Russia. Everything discussed in the article, was true before the invasion, during, and will be after. The larger strategic situation has not changed. The smaller strategic situation in Ukraine, perhaps. The Ukrainian call for tanks, indicate that Russia may have succeeded in the demilitarization goal, partially. Part of "demilitarization" means to destroy Ukraine 's offensive capability, meaning its tank fleet. The other part being its regular forces engaged in East Ukraine. If Russia succeed in annihilating the Ukraine regulars, Russia has achieved its near-term strategic goal.

Unless, of course, America fully rebuilds the Ukrainian Army post-war. Will Congress appropriate the money necessary to replace all Ukrainian hardware. Especially if they are not buying Abrams tanks. American foreign aid policy argues against this. I don't see an American T-72 factory anywhere.

Tuesday, March 29, 2022

White Patriarchy In Action

A woman notes that white men (at 30%) are more interested in going back to in-person work than women and black men. More evidence of White Patriarchy.

Ha ha ha. So very funny article, unintentionally. Here is your joke of the day.

Articles like this one, amply demonstrates that Integration is a failure, and will always be.

Sunday, March 20, 2022

Russia Sanction Endgame: Famine Edition

The Ukrainian War and the American sanctions are blocking much of the world from Ukrainian and Russian wheat, corn, and sunflower seed oils, and from Belarus potash and other Russian fertilizers. Many countries are dependent on Russian and Ukrainian wheat, and now facing rising prices. Others, such as Brazil, depend on Russian fertilizers and will have to cut production. This is especially serious because planting season, and fertilizer season, is now. The Ukrainians took fuel away from all the farmers for the war, so Ukrainians can't harvest the current crops nor sown the next.

Now we see the endgame for Russian sanction, assuming that America does not end them as part of peace negotiations. Brazil, at this point, will definitely join the Chinese currency settlement system. If only to buy Russian and Belarus fertilizers. Unless America gives Armenia emergency wheat aid, the current West-friendly government will also have to join the Chinese system and break the American sanctions, just to buy wheat. Same with all the other 3rd world governments.

Turkey is definitely the key state to watch. Erdogan is already shaky politically. If food prices keep rising, he will get voted out. America cannot pay for Erdogan's wheat, even if they want to. So Erdogan is very likely to break sanctions.

More basically, the last food inflation brought the Color Revolutions, and ushered in that wave of West-friendly regimes around the world. It is beyond ironic that the current food inflation, boosted by the American sanctions, will sweep in an era of anti-West regimes.

Case in point, Tunisia is having riots. Again. As Nightwatch said, governments don't usually know how to deal with food riots.

Friday, March 18, 2022

Glimpse of Congress and Washington Elite Ruminations

Rep. Stephanie Murphy, D-FL, is retiring from House after 3 terms. She alleges that the Democrat Party leadership does not support the moderates at all. Nor are they concerned about helping the moderates hold on to purple districts. Murphy further alleges that all of the blue lobbying interest groups (environmental, labor, immigration, anti-gin, etc) no longer are interest specific; instead, they only do what the Democratic Party leadership wants. Murphy alleges that Republicans are just as bad, and Democrats will lose to Republicans.

This is a further indicator of the domestic politics becoming intractable, losing degrees of freedom. If you assume that Congress representatives are not corrupt, are there to do what they're supposed to do, and that they love America, (which is what Murphy portrays of herself and the others), then this is straightforward depiction of a political system that's getting rid of moderates.

If you assume that the banks were bankrolled the moderates, the Washington Borgian uniparty, then this article indicates that the liberal and conservative groups they had nurtured, have grown into uncontrollable monsters, that they are crying for their lost influence. That the populist gestalt is finally winning over Washington from the uniparty.

Wednesday, March 16, 2022

There's No Place Like Home; Or, You Can't Run Away

Russians running away from Putin find that other people think all Russians are evil.

More Russians running away.

This is a reminder that, trying to separate yourself from your ethnicity's evils is stupid. You cannot disown your own blood relatives. Other people will never make fine distinctions. People are always stupid. Running away is not a solution.

Now, if they are not ethnic Rus, the refugees, then they need to emphasize their ethnicities. Be out and be proud.

Tuesday, March 15, 2022

The Foreign Legion of Ukraine: Truth and Fiction

Foreign mercenaries report significant supply, training, and organization problems in Ukraine. They confirmed that the Yavoriv cruise missile strike directly targeted the foreign fighters and foreign weapon shipments going through Yavoriv. They also confirm that some of them have left Ukraine or are leaving, following the strike.

A Reddit poster purports to be a veteran former-volunteer of the Ukraine foreign legion, and reports significant mismanagement from the Ukrainian officers, little leadership and training, and lack of supplies. He reports that the mercenaries are being used in Trench warfare fodder and not for raiding, which was what the veterans expected. He has left following the Yavoriv missile strike.

Given the Associated Press report, the Redditor is credible. The management problem is likely as significant as the Redditor alleges, given the inferences in the AP report. The significant supply problem in the AP report is quite alarming, too. This demonstrates that the Ukrainian War is going significantly worse than social media is portraying. The Ukrainian videos likely represent the upper bound of any day's Russian losses. Meaning that Russians are doing better than what Ukraine is saying.

An American volunteer and Boogaloo boy confirms key details of the Lavoriv strike, and the leadership and logistic problems of the volunteers. He further alleges that the Ukrainian border gyards are confiscating personal equipment, cutting up foreign passports, and returning caught volunteers back to forced conscription service. Further details and problems.

Monday, March 14, 2022

Myanmar Insurrections, Taiwan, and Chinese Nationism

Myanmar is trying to suppress its many insurrections, again.

If the Republic of China wants to fight China's center of gravity, then it has to change its current strategy. The current ROC strategy is defensive secession: Taiwan wants to be Taiwan. However, that strategy is only effective with Americans (and maybe Japanese). It is completely ineffective against China. ROC has completely ceded the moral domain with China.

Instead, ROC must appeal as the legitimate champion of all Chinese People, as the legitimate heir of Sun Yatsen. The CCP claims legitimacy because of Chinese nationalism. ROC must fight back on that moral plane.

For example, ROC must support all of the Chinese Diaspora in the Myanmar insurrection. KMT used to, which was how most of those tribes got their weapons in the first place. Time to fight again.

The DPP and the Pan-Green coalition, perhaps due to their hatred of the KMT, appears genetically incapable of contesting Chinese nationalism. This is one of the many reasons, but perhaps the most fundamental one, why Taiwan is doomed.

Wartime Male and GTQ Refugees Are Traitors

A Ukrainian Transgender Man has safely escaped to Germany, away from the war. He ran away because "he had to leave to care for his mother". He joins all the other transgender people in running away from Ukraine. Note here that Ukraine has an exit ban and mandatory conscription of all men 16-60, to fight the Ukrainian War.

First off, the very fact that Ukraine has an exit ban and mandatory conscription, tells you all you need to know, that the war is going badly for Ukraine, and that many, perhaps most, men do not want to fight for Ukraine, against Russia. All you need to know.

Secondly, ALL MEN leaving the country during a defensive war, are traitors. ALL MEN. Perhaps treason is moral in such a particular instance. But the act of leaving is treasonous. It is irrelevant if they need to protect their refugee families and whatever. Their very act of leaving, deprives the national army of his fighting strength, thus makes the army more likely to lose the war. If universal suffrage matters, then wartime refugees are treasonous.

This logic applies to all of the Syrian and Afghan refugees, too. If their side has already lost, the treason logic still applies. Surrender to the enemy, following loss, is not treason. Running away is.

There is all this drama about Ukrainian Transgender Men and Women trying to evade the exit ban. If America, Europe, and NATO really stands with Ukraine and supports Zelensky, they should be flying all of these Transgender people back into Ukraine so they can pick up a rifle. By taking in Transgender people, America and NATO are supporting treason against Ukraine. The logic is clear and simple. Transgender men, suck up and take responsibility for being a man. Transgender women, hey, the war needs you, too. Trans women are better at ground combat than cis women. That is a fact.

Now, are women refugees traitors, too? Perhaps, somewhat. But since their combat ability is about 72% of men’s (Ukraine 2016 Olympic weightlifting), so they are 72% treasonous, as well. Children and old people. Children have no agency, so if their parents dragged them away into refugee, then no responsibility. Old people, their traitor status is based on their combat ability.

This leads into a question of Just War versus Total Mobilization and Democracy. Christian Just War Theory assumes that there is a difference between combatants and civilians. That soldiers can maim and kill each other all they want (basically), but civilians are off-limits. However, ever since the French Revolution, Levee en Masse is a thing now. Mobilization of the People and mass conscription means that everyone is a combatant, and the soldier-civilian distinction is meaningless. For a country to fight any war, even defensive ones, requires some popular support, unless they are depending on a mercenary army. Even an All-Volunteer Force requires taxes to pay for them. Mass conscription raises the population support to a more intimate level, of course. And any refugee, in such a case, is a traitor to the war.

This also gets into the idea of universal resistance, as Zelensky has called for, and NATO cheered for. That all Ukrainian civilians continue to resist their Russian invaders, even after the Ukrainian Armed Forces has retreated from that particular area. Armed resistance, of course, turns all involved civilians into combatants. Which, in Just War Theory, means killing is fair game, and not a war crime. Anyone, who want the Ukrainian People and culture to continue existing, would not support any popular resistance to the Russian Army. Anyone calling for civilians and militias to keep resisting Russians, know that you have signed their death warrants, and that you are not supporting the Ukrainian People’s survival. [For the State and the People are not the same thing, stupid.]

That idea of universal resistance is another proof of what I have been saying all along, that Protests are simply a less lethal form of conflict. That protests and demonstrations are undemocratic coercions of the Body Politic. Note that I am not saying whether protesting is moral, but that it is simply one point on the Use Of Force spectrum.

Edited to add: Polish people are also getting passports following the Yavoriv cruise missile attack. These Poles are also betraying the Polish government. They are not confident in NATO's guarantees.

Edited to add: Russians are running away, too. They are traitors, too. If there's an ethnic component to the exodus, meaning one ethnicity is more likely to leave than another, then the defecting traitors are de facto helping an ethnic cleansing. The only way to "fight" an ethnic cleansing, is to stay and fight.

Sunday, March 13, 2022

NATO "Unity" During the Ukraine War

Turkey and Greece, long-time enemies, NATO partners, and recent opponents in the Syrian/Afghan migrant fight, now seek to reset relationship due to Ukraine War.
England wants the EU (and Ireland) to be more accommodating i. the Northern Ireland trade dispute, due to Ukraine War.
The Tu-141 drone that crashed in Croatia appeared to carry an explosive payload, residue and debris analysis say. The drone is in service wirh both Russia and Ukraine, and debris analysis shows indicators of both. Waiting on blackbox navigation data. Croatia is upset that NATO, Romania, and Hungary did not provide any warning, even though NATO said it had tracked the drone. In other news, when referencing Ukraine, Pentagon spoxmn said that "An attack against one is an attack against all", seeking to bolster the alliance. However, he didn't discuss the drone bomb in Croatia, if it meets an "attack" standard.
European politics continue amid the Ukraine War "unity". And we don't know yet if Ceoatia counts as a "real" NATO member yet.

Nationalism and Xenophobia Rising Due to Migrations

In South Africa, local groups in Alexandra are chasing away and attacking foreign African migrants.
British companies are pushing to hire Ukrainian refugees.
Intellectuals and "liberal" people are leaving Russia, together with Western residents, due to Ukraine War. Many Jews are leaving Ukraine due to the Ukraine War. In America, Black people are leaving cities (primarily northern cities like NYC, Chicago, Detroit, and LA), and moving to suburbs. The article does not specify, but the Chicago suburb cited has become 50% Black, indicating that some suburbs are more popular with Black people than others.
AAPI teachers are "combatting" anti-Asian violence with talking. They are useless.
Migrations in the news. Nationalism is rising, as evidenced by people moving to congregate with kin. Migration is ethnic cleansing. People who leave a country are giving up on that country's future. (And yes, I include war refugees among the Brain Drain.)

Monday, March 7, 2022

Crime Statistics: City Crimes Indeed Rose 2021

Researchers used crime location data and people mobility data in 3 cities, to clarify the urban crime picture during the Covid pandemic. It turns out that there were overall fewer crimes, but also many fewer people out and about. So, on a per-outdoor-hour and per-outdoor-person basis, all crimes rose significantly during the pandemic, just like traffic fatality per mile driven did as well.

And of course, under that new metric, urban murder rates skyrocketed, much more seriously than we all originally thought. People are getting slaughtered in the cities. The leftist author tried to reassure the urban readers that the cities are still quite safe. Only the stupid ones will buy that story. American cities are not safe. The post-Covid back-to-the-office will not bring back the workers. The Covid urban flight is here to stay.

And faced with both the traffic fatality spike and now the clear urban crime spike, we can conclude that Covid and vaccines have indeed made people more violent and less patient, and more accident-prone. Stay safe, my readers.