Saturday, February 19, 2022

US, Europe, NATO, EU: Why Moderates Are Stupid

America remains the "Indispensable Nation" in European affairs. For all of the desires of Europeans to chart a Third Way, they remain painfully dependent on American power for everything. On the other side, America continues its 50-year course of complaining of European #FreeRider problem, yet refusing to leave Europe be. Biden denounces Trump's anti-NATO bluster, yet do not dispute the substance of Trump's complaints, yet unwilling to push Europeans to actually do more.
This is a perfect case study of why Moderates, Status-Quo supporters, are stupid. Reform is always more expensive than starting fresh, because if the system was capable of fixing the new problem, then it would be fixing it already, without any need to talk about "Reform". The very fact that people are talking about "Reform" demonstrates that the system cannot respond to the problem, reformed or not. This is, incidentally, why successful "Revolutions in Military Affairs" almost always take the form of new organizations.
In this case of European irrelevance, there are 3 paths forward. The #Thesis is, America runs everything and Europe takes it. The #Antithesis is, Europe Goes Their Own Way (#EGTOW). The stupid moderate #Synthesis is, America runs everything and both Europe and America complains everything. In Geopolitics, as in Life, do not complain if you won't fix the problem. It makes you (America and Europe) look both weak and stupid, like certain animals wanting to do a certain function.

2 comments:

Peter said...

I’m not quite sure here if you are advocating continued world-wide US interventionism or not.

Certainly, blame for the current Russian-Ukraine mess can be laid at 2 and a half decades of benighted US policy.

Jimmy said...

My point is that Moderates are stupid, because of their instinct to split the middle and synthesis. Especially when it is patently stupid to synthesize.

And "reforms" are always stupid.